Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.084146 0.098738 0.115037 0.134583 0.157381 0.183128 0.214412
2025-12-21 0.062679 0.080867 0.103112 0.132293 0.169544 0.215494 0.276487
2025-12-28 0.050373 0.070691 0.097617 0.135847 0.188682 0.259096 0.360073
2026-01-04 0.041747 0.063236 0.093863 0.140574 0.209923 0.308999 0.461291
2026-01-11 0.034741 0.056447 0.089513 0.143361 0.228700 0.358580 0.571208
2026-01-18 0.028781 0.049899 0.084115 0.143303 0.242915 0.403580 0.682245
2026-01-25 0.023319 0.042960 0.076666 0.138351 0.248133 0.434999 0.776927
2026-02-01 0.018886 0.036834 0.069339 0.132047 0.249628 0.460072 0.864806
2026-02-08 0.015904 0.032717 0.064739 0.129631 0.257366 0.496897 0.979368
2026-02-15 0.013371 0.028934 0.060022 0.126022 0.262038 0.528556 1.089258
2026-02-22 0.011787 0.026747 0.057996 0.127295 0.276369 0.580706 1.247478
2026-03-01 0.010304 0.024471 0.055357 0.126762 0.286785 0.626490 1.400037
2026-03-08 0.008733 0.021769 0.051510 0.123372 0.291545 0.663597 1.546030
2026-03-15 0.007597 0.019847 0.049052 0.122704 0.302437 0.716227 1.736973
2026-03-22 0.006915 0.018898 0.048693 0.126966 0.325759 0.801117 2.018381
2026-03-29 0.006354 0.018138 0.048652 0.132037 0.352116 0.897928 2.346686
2026-04-05 0.005763 0.017161 0.047874 0.135086 0.374036 0.988015 2.675463
2026-04-12 0.005129 0.015924 0.046161 0.135309 0.388647 1.062474 2.978321
2026-04-19 0.004412 0.014274 0.042977 0.130802 0.389544 1.101571 3.194801
2026-04-26 0.003758 0.012662 0.039568 0.124943 0.385487 1.126701 3.377920
2026-05-03 0.003308 0.011585 0.037519 0.122723 0.391663 1.181444 3.655971
2026-05-10 0.002888 0.010510 0.035248 0.119346 0.393704 1.224801 3.909141
2026-05-17 0.002634 0.009939 0.034464 0.120581 0.410467 1.314820 4.321067